Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.171535 3.663815 4.209123 4.858315 5.610658 6.455758 7.478030
2024-10-20 2.473298 3.104173 3.863929 4.847692 6.090144 7.610327 9.616560
2024-10-27 1.891569 2.550034 3.402396 4.589575 6.205600 8.336346 11.372126
2024-11-03 1.625141 2.336566 3.319452 4.781919 6.912949 9.920923 14.517861
2024-11-10 1.440580 2.195598 3.302183 5.050804 7.762299 11.836197 18.477029
2024-11-17 1.257927 2.021225 3.201522 5.171614 8.404967 13.548655 22.445373
2024-11-24 1.088940 1.836075 3.049313 5.178596 8.860265 15.033611 26.312444
2024-12-01 0.918450 1.618154 2.806266 4.989467 8.949349 15.918443 29.311143
2024-12-08 0.776538 1.424717 2.571687 4.770882 8.940875 16.617633 32.082455
2024-12-15 0.700684 1.336353 2.506495 4.843634 9.468527 18.360197 37.107500
2024-12-22 0.612940 1.211656 2.354794 4.726148 9.608731 19.382770 40.886130
2024-12-29 0.582294 1.192389 2.399951 5.000411 10.569096 22.171845 48.800580
2025-01-05 0.537397 1.140601 2.379053 5.149698 11.325564 24.731453 56.862141
2025-01-12 0.487034 1.069736 2.308764 5.183970 11.844678 26.884567 64.472557
2025-01-19 0.420377 0.953243 2.123905 4.934839 11.685591 27.502479 68.617405
2025-01-26 0.397686 0.931621 2.144416 5.160139 12.675380 30.964579 80.470375
2025-02-02 0.381842 0.923311 2.193867 5.462989 13.909704 35.244875 95.339322
2025-02-09 0.356969 0.889405 2.177773 5.601766 14.757531 38.716164 108.807302
2025-02-16 0.327682 0.839961 2.116275 5.614301 15.278974 41.437467 120.789974
2025-02-23 0.290967 0.765886 1.981837 5.411847 15.183540 42.482970 128.169586
2025-03-02 0.257301 0.694615 1.843814 5.176080 14.952020 43.105633 134.416821
2025-03-09 0.241081 0.667918 1.819944 5.256344 15.646869 46.521944 150.105894
2025-03-16 0.218211 0.619355 1.729369 5.129293 15.704382 48.063952 160.135095